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Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?”?

Politics$12K traded44 holdersEnds August 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
12%Yes
88%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$1.1K
by 44 wallets
Smart share · Yes
31%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
76%
14 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.

The smart money

31% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.

Who holds it

44 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is nergnallh, with $120 on it, $100 lifetime loss over 14 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is adamwittboldt1, with $240 on it, $28 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).

Yes12%
Smart money share31% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
a day ago 33%now 31%
Holders
30
Money on it
$538
Holders' win rate
57%
No88%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share76% ▼ 8 pts in 24 h
a day ago 84%now 76%
Holders
14
Money on it
$547
Holders' win rate
62%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$538 on it

  1. 1nergnallh71% won of 14$120−$100 lifetime
  2. 2JGripen0% won of 2$114−$694 lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$55+$255K lifetime
  4. 4GuugaMan50% won of 22$38−$14 lifetime
  5. 50xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-176779157484363% won of 267 · whale$33+$4.1K lifetime

No$547 on it

  1. 1adamwittboldt1100% won of 1$240+$28 lifetime
  2. 2simplythenextone70% won of 43$97+$511 lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 49,298$77−$52K lifetime
  4. 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$53−$377K lifetime
  5. 5g3412179% won of 214 · balanced$44+$256 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?"?

44 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is nergnallh, with $120 on it, $100 lifetime loss over 14 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is adamwittboldt1, with $240 on it, $28 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

31% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.