Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is hoooooooooold, with $300 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 243 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is manlets, with $198 on it, $687 lifetime profit over 259 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $766
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $501
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$766 on it
- 1hoooooooooold70% won of 243$300−$8.4K lifetime
- 2KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$72+$37K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$66+$255K lifetime
- 4DistMistFist81% won of 27 · balanced$64+$2.2K lifetime
- 5hojs82% won of 11$44−$181 lifetime
No$501 on it
- 1manlets61% won of 259 · balanced$198+$687 lifetime
- 2landquinono record yet$83+$0 lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,296$73−$52K lifetime
- 4Sithmaul94% won of 194 · balanced$64+$965 lifetime
- 5aliiz78% won of 1,248 · balanced$62+$8.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
5 more- S + MP + C + V$22K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- S + MP$18K vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- S + MP + C$14K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- M + KD + L + C$13K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- M + KD + L + SD$12K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is hoooooooooold, with $300 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 243 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is manlets, with $198 on it, $687 lifetime profit over 259 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.