Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 48% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is tabcoin, with $229 on it, $165 lifetime loss over 16 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $243 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $743
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1tabcoin38% won of 16$229−$165 lifetime
- 2fredrikpererikno record yet$112+$0 lifetime
- 30xb67a41DD25e1c6ccaEBB4103c11709efc2c9B63d-177895462896571% won of 34$109+$148 lifetime
- 4betbuilder58% won of 140$108−$3 lifetime
- 5Dolof46% won of 41 · noise$103+$9 lifetime
No$743 on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$243+$37K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$195−$378K lifetime
- 315billionplus14% won of 1,406$87−$11K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,301$67−$52K lifetime
- 5smartpreset73% won of 543$40−$34K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
5 more- S + MP + C + V$22K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- S$15K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- S + MP + C$14K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- M + KD + L + C$13K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- M + KD + L + SD$12K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is tabcoin, with $229 on it, $165 lifetime loss over 16 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $243 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.