Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $769 by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $769 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gushe, with $43 on it, $651 lifetime profit over 15 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Roro22, with $196 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $299
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $469
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$299 on it
- 1Gushe67% won of 15$43+$651 lifetime
- 2mstrom25% won of 92$32−$2.1K lifetime
- 3Crickysnokenno record yet$24+$0 lifetime
- 4meklaren47% won of 103 · noise$24+$140 lifetime
- 5DistMistFist81% won of 27 · balanced$22+$2.2K lifetime
No$469 on it
- 1Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$196+$9.3K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,301$82−$52K lifetime
- 3Kulturvirus63% won of 216 · balanced$76+$118 lifetime
- 4adamwittboldt1100% won of 1$64+$28 lifetime
- 5Kevlarsoul100% won of 1$28+$75 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
5 more- S + MP + C + V$22K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- S + MP$18K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- S$15K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- S + MP + C$14K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- M + KD + L + SD$12K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $769 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gushe, with $43 on it, $651 lifetime profit over 15 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is Roro22, with $196 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.