
Who's betting on “Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roro22, with $161 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $476 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $651
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$651 on it
- 1Roro2269% won of 231 · balanced$161+$9.3K lifetime
- 2fatedirty67% won of 86 · balanced$62+$210 lifetime
- 3tabcoin38% won of 16$50−$165 lifetime
- 4OllonPiercing40% won of 63$48−$491 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$47+$254K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$476+$37K lifetime
- 2cabbag45% won of 227 · noise$171+$208 lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$131−$378K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,301$76−$52K lifetime
- 5smartpreset73% won of 543$69−$34K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
5 more- S + MP + C + V$22K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- S + MP$18K vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- S$15K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- M + KD + L + C$13K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- M + KD + L + SD$12K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roro22, with $161 on it, $9.3K lifetime profit over 231 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is KimchiCapital, with $476 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on August 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.