Who's betting on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $821
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
3 more- 50%+$41K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: Yes
- 55%+$36K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- 45%+$13K vol.Yes 90%No 11%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.