Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them.
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $497
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
3 more- 65%+$11K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 55%+$51K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- 50%+$49K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.