Who's betting on “Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $49K has been traded on it.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
3 more- 60%+$23K vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money: No
- 65%+$11K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 55%+$51K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?"?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $49K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 14, 2026 and resolved Yes. $49K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.