Who's betting on “Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $36K by 475 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 369 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 105 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved Yes. $72K has been traded on it.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
475 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 474 of them.
- Holders
- 369
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?
3 more- 450k to 475k$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 500k to 525k$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 425k to 450k$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
475 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 474 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved Yes. $72K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved Yes. $72K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.