Who's betting on “Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $232 by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $232 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $224
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?
3 more- 475k to 500k$72K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 450k to 475k$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- 500k to 525k$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $232 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $24K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.