Who's betting on “Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $196 by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $37K has been traded on it.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $196 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them.
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $186
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?
3 more- 475k to 500k$72K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 500k to 525k$27K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 425k to 450k$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $196 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026"?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $37K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $37K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.