Who's betting on “Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is resuildde, with $124 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 10 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $571 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $335
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$335 on it
- 1resuildde70% won of 10$124+$6.9K lifetime
- 2BurstedBubble100% won of 4$59−$32K lifetime
- 3TR42231% won of 16$51−$6.1K lifetime
- 4flovertaco59% won of 294 · whale$23+$24K lifetime
- 50x6392…b6c222% won of 9$16−$28 lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$571+$2.7K lifetime
- 2ymbetzzz58% won of 292$445−$4.0K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith51% won of 53,556$434−$378K lifetime
- 4Bettingcryptofr58% won of 33 · balanced$309+$17K lifetime
- 5Elyotus54% won of 151 · balanced$297+$399 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- David Lisnard$225K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
- Marine Le Pen$27K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Jordan Bardella$25K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- François Hollande$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is resuildde, with $124 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 10 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $571 on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.