Who's betting on “Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 42% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $225K traded all time
- Held now
- $132K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $225K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $132K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Venimous, with $5.8K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 391 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $51K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
Sharp money
The insider radar has flagged 2 wallets betting $4.0K on Yes.
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Insider flags
- 2 · $4.0K
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $109K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$24K on it
- 1Venimous80% won of 391 · whale$5.8K+$5.2K lifetime
- 2FANTOMAS.57% won of 116 · balanced$2.7K+$10K lifetime
- 3Thibaud29% won of 7$2.5K−$53K lifetime
- 4lisnardpresidentno record yet$2.2K+$0 lifetime
- 5Antt34no record yet$1.8K+$0 lifetime
No$109K on it
- 1Vietnam7no record yet$51K+$0 lifetime
- 2PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$22K+$2.7K lifetime
- 3Pikassietteno record yet$18K+$0 lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$3.1K+$334K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,683 · whale$2.9K+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
- Marine Le Pen$27K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Jordan Bardella$25K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- François Hollande$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$13K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $132K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Venimous, with $5.8K on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 391 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Vietnam7, with $51K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $225K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
2 wallets on Yes ($4.0K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.