Who's betting on “Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 122 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
122 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is nuiuh, with $982 on it, $372 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is G.Hchen, with $4.2K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 239 markets (44% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $390 on No.
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $390
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.5K on it
- 1nuiuh100% won of 1$982+$372 lifetime
- 2PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$604+$2.7K lifetime
- 3azrezrzeez0% won of 1$514−$18 lifetime
- 4numero7739% won of 31 · noise$369+$2.6K lifetime
- 5Montecarlaw62% won of 1,123 · whale$287+$14K lifetime
No$7.9K on it
- 1G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$4.2K+$23K lifetime
- 2Gigachain162264% won of 963 · whale$702+$32K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$390+$244K lifetime
- 4Boogy55% won of 203$324−$6.3K lifetime
- 5TheWorldGoesCrazy64% won of 33$282−$227 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- David Lisnard$225K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Marine Le Pen$27K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Jordan Bardella$25K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- François Hollande$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$13K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
122 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is nuiuh, with $982 on it, $372 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is G.Hchen, with $4.2K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 239 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.