Who's betting on “Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $59 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,759 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $14 on Yes.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $286
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $14
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$286 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$59+$27K lifetime
- 2NoDoubtD77% won of 39 · balanced$43+$190 lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$34+$334K lifetime
- 4OdileDeray68% won of 337 · balanced$21+$34K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,683 · whale$19+$325K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$1.5K+$2.7K lifetime
- 2DFK81% won of 771 · whale$659+$42K lifetime
- 30x6Ad005cBA492cd30C22342dC45905b3dd8aD2AB9-176830711670933% won of 6$345−$216 lifetime
- 4archaic86% won of 1,459 · whale$280+$197K lifetime
- 5knrad62% won of 1,120 · whale$187+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- David Lisnard$225K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
- Marine Le Pen$27K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- François Hollande$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$13K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $59 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,759 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.