Who's betting on “Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 76 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 5% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
5% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 75 points. A week ago, No by 82 points.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Einstein123, with $89 on it, $75 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.6K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $173
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$173 on it
- 1Einstein123100% won of 2$89−$75 lifetime
- 2waarperno record yet$56−$11 lifetime
- 3Felixooozno record yet$14+$0 lifetime
- 4aliiz78% won of 1,242 · balanced$6+$8.1K lifetime
- 5maitrezan71% won of 34$3−$155 lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$1.6K+$2.7K lifetime
- 2SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,544$283−$8.5K lifetime
- 3Elyotus54% won of 151 · balanced$283+$399 lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$132+$334K lifetime
- 50xf040…d11f47% won of 704$101−$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- David Lisnard$225K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
- Marine Le Pen$27K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Jordan Bardella$25K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Raphaël Glucksmann$13K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Einstein123, with $89 on it, $75 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is PascalPro, with $1.6K on it, $2.7K lifetime profit over 85 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
5% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 75 points. A week ago, No by 82 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.