Who's betting on “Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 111 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
111 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $5.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gigachain1622, with $313 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 963 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$5.4K+$42K lifetime
- 2QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$1.8K+$57K lifetime
- 3TheEmprah69% won of 217 · whale$654+$34K lifetime
- 40xdec326efACE4cB079170418Eb97891424A7B9F41-178324741089094% won of 18$575−$10 lifetime
- 5PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$561+$2.7K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1Gigachain162264% won of 963 · whale$313+$32K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$240+$4.2K lifetime
- 30xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-172942730051859% won of 51$219−$15K lifetime
- 4Aveen81% won of 238 · balanced$100+$1.4K lifetime
- 5PainChoco52% won of 33 · noise$93+$3.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
7 more- David Lisnard$225K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
- Jordan Bardella$25K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- François Hollande$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$13K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$13K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
111 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $5.4K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gigachain1622, with $313 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 963 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.