Who's betting on “Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 23% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is romeinzc, with $147 on it, $2.2K lifetime profit over 206 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 0x14a1…9912, with $496 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 2,906 markets (2% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $399
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 30%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$399 on it
- 1romeinzc82% won of 206 · balanced$147+$2.2K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$64+$254K lifetime
- 3rocky4200552% won of 953$63−$4.3K lifetime
- 4BAO9588969% won of 840 · whale$27+$32K lifetime
- 5Dapsy51% won of 919$18−$73K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 10x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$496−$15K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$406−$485K lifetime
- 310145662% won of 297 · balanced$226+$22K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$62−$287K lifetime
- 5chessplayer70% won of 1,381$45−$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
3 more- Anthropic$23K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
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- Amazon$12K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is romeinzc, with $147 on it, $2.2K lifetime profit over 206 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 0x14a1…9912, with $496 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 2,906 markets (2% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.