Who's betting on “Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is tradetosurvive1, with $47 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,346 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $572 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $154
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$154 on it
- 1tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$47−$217K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$43+$254K lifetime
- 3qwerty06989% won of 9$13−$50 lifetime
- 4GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$11−$89K lifetime
- 5rocky4200552% won of 953$8−$4.3K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$572+$91K lifetime
- 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$216+$313K lifetime
- 3Dapsy51% won of 919$179−$73K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$117−$378K lifetime
- 5DrunkenGuessingElephant64% won of 36$52−$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
3 more- Anthropic$23K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Perplexity$15K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$14K vol.Yes 44%No 56%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is tradetosurvive1, with $47 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,346 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $572 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.