Who's betting on “Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.0K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $462
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $588
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
3 more- Anthropic$23K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Perplexity$15K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Amazon$12K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.