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Who's betting on “Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Politics · $16K volume · Ends April 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

87% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago it was split.

70 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Anon321321, with $0 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 403 markets (43% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
87%
Holders
69
Money on it
$74
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
100%
Holders
1
Money on it
$0
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Biggggggggwhale$10+$705K46% of 5,954
donthackmenoise$7+$907K29% of 69,634
e46m3whale$6+$1.1M47% of 74,172
cigarettes$5-$4.2K46% of 42,466
balthazarwhale$4+$1.2M53% of 44,232
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Anon321321noise$0+$18K43% of 403
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

70 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Anon321321, with $0 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 403 markets (43% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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