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Who's betting on “Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Politics · $203K volume · Ends April 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

41% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.

53 wallets hold a position worth $971 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is peritaloco6, with $164 on it, $3 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is ghorrock, with $419 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 30,170 markets (64% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
41%
Holders
46
Money on it
$370
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
98%
Holders
7
Money on it
$601
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
peritaloco6$164-$3-
donthackmenoise$27+$907K29% of 69,634
fiternoise$25+$46K16% of 769
Edje25whale$25+$11K68% of 775
cigarettes$21-$4.2K46% of 42,466
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ghorrockwhale$419+$7.8K64% of 30,170
Elias.Thornwellwhale$168+$4.5K69% of 2,940
shangjinlieren$11-$3245% of 78
0x539b…c64fgrinder$2+$7799% of 506
0xe600…a907$2+$14287% of 263
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

53 wallets hold a position worth $971 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is peritaloco6, with $164 on it, $3 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is ghorrock, with $419 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 30,170 markets (64% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

41% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 57 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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