Who's betting on “Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Politics · $15K volume · Ends April 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Polkyo has not scored enough of this market's holders yet to say where the profitable money sits.

71 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
88%
Holders
71
Money on it
$74
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
-
Holders
0
Money on it
$0
Holders' winrate
-
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Biggggggggwhale$10+$705K46% of 5,954
donthackmenoise$7+$911K29% of 69,871
e46m3whale$6+$1.1M47% of 74,403
cigarettes$5-$5.6K46% of 42,562
balthazarwhale$4+$1.2M53% of 44,232
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

71 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

Polkyo has not scored enough of this market's holders yet to say where the profitable money sits.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo