Who's betting on “Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?
Politics · $251K volume · Ends April 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $251K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.
29% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
95 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6F5Ae5e1B42f9c0325832F9FBe037392dEe492BF-1779304820556, with $155 on it, $315 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Distprter, with $302 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 19 markets (63% won).
- Smart money share
- 29%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $444
- Holders' winrate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $837
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6F5Ae5e1B42f9c0325832F9FBe037392dEe492BF-1779304820556 | $155 | -$315 | - |
| antelillo | $87 | -$4 | 50% of 2 |
| fiternoise | $24 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $22 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| just-a-gambler | $15 | -$13K | 40% of 261 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distprter | $302 | -$1.4K | 63% of 19 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $176 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| CT-testbalanced | $144 | +$621 | 53% of 161 |
| yidi | $38 | +$0 | 60% of 10 |
| LesterDiamondnoise | $25 | +$207K | 40% of 3,634 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Spain?
- Pedro Sánchez$500K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money split
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo$431K vol.Yes 82%No 19%Smart money: Yes
- Santiago Abascal$286K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Carlos Cuerpo$203K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Yolanda Díaz$174K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Óscar Puente$76K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- María Jesús Montero$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Miguel Tellado$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Carles Puigdemont$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ester Muñoz$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Cuca Gamarra$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Borja Sémper$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Pepa Millán$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ernest Urtasun$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Aitor Esteban$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6F5Ae5e1B42f9c0325832F9FBe037392dEe492BF-1779304820556, with $155 on it, $315 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Distprter, with $302 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 19 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $251K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.