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Who's betting on “Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?”?

Politics · $35K volume · Ends April 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

86% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 86 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 86 points. A week ago, Yes by 96 points.

70 wallets hold a position worth $194 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xB5f961fe4Ecc1604b877de6466F3B19fB53eF192-1774979797782, with $120 on it, $46 lifetime loss over 139 markets (94% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86%
Holders
68
Money on it
$74
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
0%
Holders
2
Money on it
$120
Holders' winrate
94%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Biggggggggwhale$10+$705K46% of 5,954
jrmbzh$8+$189100% of 10
donthackmenoise$7+$907K29% of 69,634
e46m3whale$6+$1.1M47% of 74,172
cigarettes$5-$4.2K46% of 42,466
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xB5f961fe4Ecc1604b877de6466F3B19fB53eF192-1774979797782$120-$4694% of 139
Anon321321noise$0+$18K43% of 403
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

70 wallets hold a position worth $194 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $10 on it, $705K lifetime profit over 5,954 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xB5f961fe4Ecc1604b877de6466F3B19fB53eF192-1774979797782, with $120 on it, $46 lifetime loss over 139 markets (94% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 86 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 86 points. A week ago, Yes by 96 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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