Who's betting on “Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $112K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 107 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 65 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 26, 2026. $112K has been traded on it.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
107 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $442
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in this event
20 more- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf$141K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Steve Witkoff$113K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani$110K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Kushner$103K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money: No
- J.D. Vance$98K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: No
- Ishaq Dar$95K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- Rafael Grossi$86K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money split
- Masoud Pezeshkian$83K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- Donald Trump$81K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi$81K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: No
- Majid Takht-Ravanchi$68K vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: No
- Marco Rubio$65K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Kazem Gharibabadi$62K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Nick Stewart$56K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Ahmad Vahidi$43K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Salman$40K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Mojtaba Khamenei$32K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Pete Hegseth$29K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Abbas Araghchi$23K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
- Esmail Qaani$20K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?
107 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?
This market closed on September 26, 2026. $112K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 26, 2026. $112K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.