Who's betting on “Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $83K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13, with $154 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 303 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is Warren-Buffett, with $1.0K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on No.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $768
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $13
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$768 on it
- 10x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks1374% won of 303 · balanced$154+$11K lifetime
- 20x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$142−$8.4K lifetime
- 3AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$83+$122K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$70+$325K lifetime
- 510145662% won of 297 · balanced$68+$22K lifetime
No$5.6K on it
- 1Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$1.0K+$127K lifetime
- 2adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$880+$11K lifetime
- 3pink1166% won of 47$810−$433 lifetime
- 40VLYp89% won of 46 · balanced$709+$2.2K lifetime
- 5SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$356+$203K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 more- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf$141K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Steve Witkoff$113K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani$110K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Kushner$103K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money: No
- J.D. Vance$98K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: No
- Ishaq Dar$95K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- Rafael Grossi$86K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money split
- Donald Trump$81K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi$81K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: No
- Majid Takht-Ravanchi$68K vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: No
- Marco Rubio$65K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Kazem Gharibabadi$62K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Nick Stewart$56K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Ahmad Vahidi$43K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Salman$40K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Mojtaba Khamenei$32K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Pete Hegseth$29K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Abbas Araghchi$23K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
- Esmail Qaani$20K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$112K vol. · ClosedYes 98%No 2%Smart money split
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13, with $154 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 303 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is Warren-Buffett, with $1.0K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.