Who's betting on “Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $76K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $121 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x9366…6350, with $338 on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 92 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $555
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $638
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$555 on it
- 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$121+$106K lifetime
- 2Cattail65% won of 241 · balanced$114+$15K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$105+$254K lifetime
- 4leCommissaire55% won of 453 · whale$46+$104K lifetime
- 50x3FdF5e85Ee4d21d90e699eF5eb14A901C9Ae2bac-177900641931586% won of 217 · grinder$35+$127 lifetime
No$638 on it
- 10x9366…635055% won of 92 · balanced$338+$5.2K lifetime
- 2Zirkkon1630% won of 10$55−$27 lifetime
- 3nedsta88% won of 469 · whale$54+$23K lifetime
- 4Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$36−$20K lifetime
- 5xZZZx66% won of 32$23−$453 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
6 more- JD Vance$148K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Donald Trump$110K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Ursula von der Leyen$95K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Smart money: Yes
- Friedrich Merz$80K vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: No
- Mark Carney$15K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Emmanuel Macron$12K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $121 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x9366…6350, with $338 on it, $5.2K lifetime profit over 92 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.