Who's betting on “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $102K traded all time
- Held now
- $47K by 215 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 119 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 95 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
215 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 214 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigMackyG, with $7.9K on it, $44K lifetime profit over 228 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is lisra, with $2.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 725 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 120
- Money on it
- $39K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $8.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$39K on it
- 1BigMackyG71% won of 228 · whale$7.9K+$44K lifetime
- 2GollumGekko73% won of 1,183 · whale$4.3K+$290K lifetime
- 3troim66% won of 819 · whale$2.8K+$90K lifetime
- 4839623928775% won of 201$2.5K−$456 lifetime
- 5eCash68% won of 691 · whale$2.3K+$288K lifetime
No$8.1K on it
- 1lisra96% won of 725 · balanced$2.9K+$17K lifetime
- 2Knowing-Lacquerware-Hospitalization42% won of 72 · noise$2.0K+$1.2K lifetime
- 3AlmostNoAwareness62% won of 192 · balanced$1.0K+$1.4K lifetime
- 4tigertest178% won of 9$302−$1.8K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$265+$828K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which company has the best AI model end of November?
9 more- Anthropic$89K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$49K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- OpenAI$41K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Meta$38K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- SpaceXAI$34K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Moonshot$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Alibaba$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
215 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 214 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigMackyG, with $7.9K on it, $44K lifetime profit over 228 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is lisra, with $2.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 725 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.