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Who's betting on “Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?”?

Tech$49K traded45 holdersEnds December 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 81 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$49K
traded all time
Held now
$463
by 45 wallets
Smart share · Yes
98%
35 scored holders
Smart share · No
17%
10 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.

The smart money

98% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 82 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

Who holds it

45 wallets hold a position worth $463 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $18 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $119 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).

Yes0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 99%a day ago 99%now 98%
Holders
35
Money on it
$42
Holders' win rate
39%
No100%
Smart money share17%
7 days ago 22%a day ago 17%now 17%
Holders
10
Money on it
$421
Holders' win rate
50%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$42 on it

  1. 1Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$18+$55K lifetime
  2. 2jozeslemsek61% won of 410 · whale$11+$2.6K lifetime
  3. 3AnimalEater54% won of 178 · whale$4+$29K lifetime
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$2+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5Anne66659% won of 762 · whale$2+$15K lifetime

No$421 on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,080$119−$49K lifetime
  2. 2gdfhtju49% won of 39$49−$7 lifetime
  3. 3dfhtehy42% won of 36$39−$29 lifetime
  4. 4bfjtdjrh50% won of 30$37−$10 lifetime
  5. 5fdhtdhy42% won of 38$37−$11 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?"?

45 wallets hold a position worth $463 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $18 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $119 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 82 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.