Who's betting on “Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?”?
Politics · $119K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $119K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
90% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
158 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 156 of them. The largest Yes holder is bonyohr, with $1.7K on it, $8.8K lifetime profit over 57 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is conherence, with $2.0K on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 336 markets (78% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $28 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $547 on No.
- Smart money share
- 90%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $8.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $28
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 89% ▲ 13 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $547
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| bonyohrbalanced | $1.7K | +$8.8K | 67% of 57 |
| donthackmenoise | $718 | +$979K | 29% of 73,214 |
| 0xc8b9…b836whale | $672 | +$300K | 63% of 531 |
| CryptoVagabondwhale | $497 | +$199K | 62% of 34 |
| JohnP92noise | $461 | +$15K | 39% of 361 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| conherencebalanced | $2.0K | +$3.3K | 78% of 336 |
| smellyElliewhale | $1.5K | +$104K | 51% of 1,916 |
| mamboNB5sniper | $547 | +$29K | 96% of 236 |
| gambler925whale | $422 | +$5.1K | 51% of 470 |
| Poligarchwhale | $228 | +$201K | 58% of 13,790 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Gyurov 20-30%$490K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 30%+$293K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Iotova 40%+$290K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Iotova 10-20%$191K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova <10%$126K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: No
- Iotova 20-30%$125K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 30-40%$118K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 10-20%$58K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?"?
158 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 156 of them. The largest Yes holder is bonyohr, with $1.7K on it, $8.8K lifetime profit over 57 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is conherence, with $2.0K on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 336 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $119K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.