Who's betting on “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?”?
Politics · $68K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
38% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points.
115 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is AdreanS, with $177 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is XueqinJiang, with $206 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 204 markets (75% won).
- Smart money share
- 38%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $666
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 50% ▼ 24 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $880
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| AdreanS | $177 | +$0 | - |
| anoin123 | $155 | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| CryptoVagabondwhale | $67 | +$199K | 62% of 34 |
| spacegliderr | $46 | -$79K | 25% of 208 |
| fiternoise | $32 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| XueqinJiangwhale | $206 | +$35K | 75% of 204 |
| Wolfgold | $137 | -$472 | 91% of 299 |
| cigarettes | $119 | -$10K | 46% of 42,356 |
| endgam | $50 | +$31 | 98% of 265 |
| LesterDiamondnoise | $49 | +$201K | 39% of 3,537 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Gyurov 20-30%$326K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 40%+$240K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 30%+$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 10-20%$118K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 20-30%$86K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova <10%$77K vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Gyurov <10%$61K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Gyurov 10-20%$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?"?
115 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is AdreanS, with $177 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is XueqinJiang, with $206 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 204 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.