Who's betting on “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?”?
Politics · $86K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
35% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points.
150 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $3.1K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $1.6K on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).
- Smart money share
- 35% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 6% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $3.1K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| dbbbt | $1.2K | -$18K | 95% of 113 |
| 0xdc3E831cadwhale | $616 | +$84K | 55% of 1,063 |
| sciuboiwhale | $553 | +$269K | 60% of 611 |
| spacegliderr | $523 | -$79K | 25% of 208 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter | $1.6K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| Haradwaith | $282 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| fd43gsfg | $157 | -$44 | 69% of 32 |
| cigarettes | $104 | -$10K | 46% of 42,356 |
| Valeriefgbn | $91 | -$55 | 46% of 71 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Gyurov 20-30%$326K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 40%+$240K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 30%+$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 10-20%$118K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova <10%$77K vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 30-40%$68K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Gyurov <10%$61K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Gyurov 10-20%$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?"?
150 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $3.1K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $1.6K on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.