Who's betting on “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?”?
Politics · $118K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 42¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
54% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points.
147 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is dbbbt, with $14K on it, $18K lifetime loss over 113 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $1.1K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 697 markets (61% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $65 on No.
- Smart money share
- 54% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 25% ▼ 13 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $65
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| dbbbt | $14K | -$18K | 95% of 113 |
| 0xc8b9…b836whale | $10K | +$297K | 63% of 520 |
| sciuboiwhale | $4.6K | +$269K | 60% of 611 |
| spacegliderr | $2.4K | -$79K | 25% of 208 |
| Mitkknoise | $2.2K | +$2.2K | 43% of 72 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x49F206 | $1.1K | -$43K | 61% of 697 |
| lissartter | $1.0K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
| HerrieDaviswhale | $600 | +$328K | 63% of 2,442 |
| Haradwaith | $300 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| tradetosurvive1 | $179 | -$211K | 44% of 23,668 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Gyurov 20-30%$326K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 40%+$240K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 30%+$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 20-30%$86K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova <10%$77K vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 30-40%$68K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Gyurov <10%$61K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Gyurov 10-20%$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory →
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?"?
147 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is dbbbt, with $14K on it, $18K lifetime loss over 113 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $1.1K on it, $43K lifetime loss over 697 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 59¢ and No at 42¢, a 59% implied chance of Yes. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.