Who's betting on “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?”?
Politics · $77K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
67% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points.
102 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 99 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $4.4K on it, $297K lifetime profit over 520 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $1.3K on it, $318K lifetime profit over 11,530 markets (22% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $111 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 67% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $111
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 48% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 40%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8b9…b836whale | $4.4K | +$297K | 63% of 520 |
| dbbbt | $3.5K | -$18K | 95% of 113 |
| 0xfc57…ce8b | $1.4K | - | - |
| CryptoVagabondwhale | $922 | +$199K | 62% of 34 |
| bonyohrbalanced | $766 | +$8.8K | 67% of 57 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $1.3K | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| Haradwaith | $937 | -$334K | 50% of 45,650 |
| ZhouCD | $466 | -$14K | 50% of 2,070 |
| rocky42007whale | $187 | +$15K | 53% of 1,203 |
| AJSVwhale | $136 | +$218K | 41% of 102,701 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Gyurov 20-30%$326K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 40%+$240K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Gyurov 30%+$144K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Iotova 10-20%$118K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 20-30%$86K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Iotova 30-40%$68K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Gyurov <10%$61K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Gyurov 10-20%$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 99 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $4.4K on it, $297K lifetime profit over 520 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $1.3K on it, $318K lifetime profit over 11,530 markets (22% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.