Who's betting on “Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $146K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 130 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 97 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $146K has been traded on it.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
130 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them.
- Holders
- 97
- Money on it
- $25
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $20K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
2 more- December 31, 2026$239K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2027$133K vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?"?
130 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $146K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $146K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.