Who's betting on “Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $133K traded all time
- Held now
- $38K by 145 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
145 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is Xeny, with $2.7K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 250 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is yen4u, with $2.4K on it, $81K lifetime profit over 1,413 markets (94% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.8K on No.
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $25K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.8K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$25K on it
- 1Xeny61% won of 250 · whale$2.7K+$106K lifetime
- 2Dragontree59% won of 1,112 · whale$2.2K+$152K lifetime
- 3kl1v76% won of 253 · whale$2.0K+$38K lifetime
- 4dreamland2679100% won of 1$2.0K+$304 lifetime
- 5TradeDeficitArchitect61% won of 1,006 · whale$1.7K+$188K lifetime
No$14K on it
- 1yen4u94% won of 1,413 · whale$2.4K+$81K lifetime
- 2cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$2.3K+$67K lifetime
- 3groth77% won of 495 · sniper$1.4K+$146K lifetime
- 40x834191a479261b32e522b738520b8d53a315de845% won of 254 · noise$1.4K+$27K lifetime
- 5eCash68% won of 691 · whale$1.2K+$288K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
2 more- December 31, 2026$239K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$146K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$923K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$883K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?"?
145 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is Xeny, with $2.7K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 250 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is yen4u, with $2.4K on it, $81K lifetime profit over 1,413 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.