Who's betting on “Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 61 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $351 by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $351 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is vi., with $51 on it, $260 lifetime loss over 78 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is mystery, with $228 on it, $859 lifetime profit over 258 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $118
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $232
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$118 on it
- 1vi.41% won of 78$51−$260 lifetime
- 2Brovadana41% won of 138$13−$8.0K lifetime
- 3garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$12+$30K lifetime
- 40x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks1374% won of 303 · balanced$7+$11K lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,267 · whale$4+$64K lifetime
No$232 on it
- 1mystery81% won of 258 · balanced$228+$859 lifetime
- 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$2+$6.6K lifetime
- 30x539b…c64f99% won of 557 · grinder$1+$75 lifetime
- 40xe600…a90787% won of 293$1+$126 lifetime
- 50x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477028% won of 33,540 · noise$0+$29K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
5 more- 0$169K vol.Yes 80%No 21%Smart money: Yes
- 2$70K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1$62K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- 3$61K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 5$30K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $351 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is vi., with $51 on it, $260 lifetime loss over 78 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is mystery, with $228 on it, $859 lifetime profit over 258 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.