Who's betting on “Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $169K traded all time
- Held now
- $51K by 197 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 111 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 86 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $169K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
Who holds it
197 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 197 of them. The largest Yes holder is WordleAddict, with $11K on it, $666K lifetime profit over 1,072 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is TradeDeficitArchitect, with $1.5K on it, $189K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (61% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $159 on Yes.
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $159
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$45K on it
- 1WordleAddict61% won of 1,072 · whale$11K+$666K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$5.1K+$91K lifetime
- 3LJa7io23MCv954j87% won of 134 · whale$3.7K+$2.6K lifetime
- 408052691% won of 11$3.3K+$712 lifetime
- 5M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$2.9K+$61K lifetime
No$6.2K on it
- 1TradeDeficitArchitect61% won of 1,009 · whale$1.5K+$189K lifetime
- 2gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$514+$6.7K lifetime
- 3purplegatto73% won of 3,499$480−$1.9M lifetime
- 4Sylvester.the.Cat63% won of 145 · whale$410+$25K lifetime
- 5troim66% won of 819 · whale$369+$90K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
5 more- 2$70K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1$62K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- 3$61K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 4$37K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 5$30K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?"?
197 wallets hold a position worth $51K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 197 of them. The largest Yes holder is WordleAddict, with $11K on it, $666K lifetime profit over 1,072 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is TradeDeficitArchitect, with $1.5K on it, $189K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $169K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.