Who's betting on “Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $62K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 94 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
94 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $763 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $860 on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.9K on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$763+$91K lifetime
- 2iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$648+$2.3K lifetime
- 3katakuri-haki47% won of 78$393−$75 lifetime
- 4rewardbots58% won of 357 · whale$380+$77K lifetime
- 5TradeDeficitArchitect61% won of 1,009 · whale$206+$190K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1Gdub70% won of 1,014$860−$301 lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$136−$378K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$117+$28K lifetime
- 4KolmogorovDoob67% won of 203$58−$13 lifetime
- 5misha-d196% won of 537$43−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
5 more- 0$169K vol.Yes 80%No 21%Smart money: Yes
- 2$70K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 3$61K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 4$37K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 5$30K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?"?
94 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $763 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $860 on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.