Who's betting on “US imports Russian diesel by November 2?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Archeroon, with $45 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 323 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $6.0K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $122
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$122 on it
- 1Archeroon25% won of 323 · noise$45+$18K lifetime
- 2Arman265% won of 361 · whale$45+$418 lifetime
- 3suraxy35% won of 1,547 · noise$15+$37K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$7+$271K lifetime
- 5Nadmi36% won of 1,267 · noise$1+$156K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 11nvoker163% won of 1,078 · whale$6.0K+$17K lifetime
- 20x56e7…7c0b70% won of 156 · whale$2.3K+$47K lifetime
- 3RekMyAds48% won of 193 · balanced$989+$1.9K lifetime
- 4mk8362% won of 164$603−$4.0K lifetime
- 5gsl16440% won of 10$329+$116 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US imports Russian diesel by...?
6 more- November 30$298K vol.Yes 55%No 46%Smart money split
- December 31$90K vol.Yes 61%No 40%Smart money: No
- November 15$25K vol.Yes 38%No 63%Too little scored money to compare
- January 31$16K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Too little scored money to compare
- March 31$12K vol.Yes 67%No 34%Too little scored money to compare
- October 31$392K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "US imports Russian diesel by November 2?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Archeroon, with $45 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 323 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $6.0K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US imports Russian diesel by November 2?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.