Who's betting on “US imports Russian diesel by November 15?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.6K by 109 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
109 wallets hold a position worth $7.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $785 on it, $418 lifetime profit over 361 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Dijaboy101, with $942 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 200 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 1Arman265% won of 361 · whale$785+$418 lifetime
- 2Archeroon25% won of 323 · noise$283+$18K lifetime
- 3sheepinsheepsclothing100% won of 12$191+$479 lifetime
- 40x2681…694390% won of 10$188+$204 lifetime
- 5tyeplo77% won of 26$187+$110 lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1Dijaboy10149% won of 200$942−$2.4K lifetime
- 2theta-thunberg56% won of 1,104 · whale$481+$65K lifetime
- 30xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d66% won of 329 · whale$452+$29K lifetime
- 4Umaroth61% won of 809 · whale$375+$8.7K lifetime
- 50x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671558% won of 679 · whale$335+$6.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US imports Russian diesel by...?
6 more- November 30$298K vol.Yes 55%No 46%Smart money split
- December 31$90K vol.Yes 61%No 40%Smart money: No
- November 2$17K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- January 31$16K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Too little scored money to compare
- March 31$12K vol.Yes 67%No 34%Too little scored money to compare
- October 31$392K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "US imports Russian diesel by November 15?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $7.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $785 on it, $418 lifetime profit over 361 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Dijaboy101, with $942 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 200 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US imports Russian diesel by November 15?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.