Who's betting on “US imports Russian diesel by November 30?”?
Politics · $154K volume · Ends December 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 82¢ and No at 18¢, an 82% implied chance of Yes. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
80% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
228 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 226 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylvester.the.Cat, with $4.1K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 144 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $1.9K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 1,015 markets (62% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $275 on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $991 on No.
- Smart money share
- 80% ▲ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 142
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 2 · $275
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 84% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $7.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 2 · $991
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvester.the.Catwhale | $4.1K | +$29K | 64% of 144 |
| Newshoundwhale | $3.6K | +$67K | 72% of 1,043 |
| Tree.news | $3.1K | +$453 | 20% of 5 |
| NeonVector | $1.6K | -$1.2K | 86% of 14 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $1.4K | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1nvoker1whale | $1.9K | +$14K | 62% of 1,015 |
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dwhale | $1.1K | +$33K | 64% of 295 |
| AnibalAugustoSardinhasniper | $918 | +$56K | 92% of 48 |
| 00000000000000x9balanced | $504 | +$800 | 94% of 257 |
| wallet-account-testbalanced | $497 | +$4.7K | 69% of 210 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US imports Russian diesel by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "US imports Russian diesel by November 30?"?
228 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 226 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sylvester.the.Cat, with $4.1K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 144 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $1.9K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 1,015 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US imports Russian diesel by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 82¢ and No at 18¢, an 82% implied chance of Yes. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.