Who's betting on “US imports Russian diesel by March 31?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 28 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 67¢ and No at 34¢, a 67% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
28 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715, with $1.2K on it, $6.6K lifetime profit over 679 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $993 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 10x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671558% won of 679 · whale$1.2K+$6.6K lifetime
- 2SuperFake80% won of 1,130$570−$7.0K lifetime
- 3timeistmoney54% won of 820 · balanced$324+$1.6K lifetime
- 4Loyal171% won of 142 · balanced$253+$2.2K lifetime
- 5rocky4202352% won of 1,441$199−$19K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 11nvoker163% won of 1,078 · whale$993+$17K lifetime
- 2EdvardRunch86% won of 205$332−$8.0K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$40+$271K lifetime
- 4predictdogepepewif23% won of 8,391$34−$40K lifetime
- 5lissartter55% won of 3,282$11−$312K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US imports Russian diesel by...?
6 more- November 30$298K vol.Yes 55%No 46%Smart money split
- December 31$90K vol.Yes 61%No 40%Smart money: No
- November 15$25K vol.Yes 38%No 63%Too little scored money to compare
- November 2$17K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- January 31$16K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Too little scored money to compare
- October 31$392K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "US imports Russian diesel by March 31?"?
28 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715, with $1.2K on it, $6.6K lifetime profit over 679 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 1nvoker1, with $993 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,078 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US imports Russian diesel by March 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 67¢ and No at 34¢, a 67% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.