Who's betting on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $388K traded all time
- Held now
- $273K by 242 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 85 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 155 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $388K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
Who holds it
242 wallets hold a position worth $273K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 240 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcf19…6402, with $1.4K on it, $140K lifetime profit over 496 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is Babymunk, with $55K on it, $36K lifetime profit over 60 markets (83% won).
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 155
- Money on it
- $265K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.9K on it
- 10xcf19…640254% won of 496 · whale$1.4K+$140K lifetime
- 2I0I0I011% won of 83$1.2K−$1.3K lifetime
- 3classified58% won of 1,583 · whale$1.2K+$998K lifetime
- 4BigRabbit36% won of 1,121 · noise$744+$124K lifetime
- 5betwick55% won of 779 · whale$432+$602K lifetime
No$265K on it
- 1Babymunk83% won of 60 · balanced$55K+$36K lifetime
- 2SickandTired70% won of 1,207$19K−$2.6K lifetime
- 3dwarf12360% won of 10$17K+$13K lifetime
- 4Cy66688% won of 216 · balanced$15K+$1.7K lifetime
- 5yonips57% won of 69 · balanced$15K+$186 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
7 more- December 31$4.7M vol.Yes 42%No 58%Smart money: No
- November 30$843K vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money: No
- March 31$215K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- November 15$76K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
- October 31$7.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- September 30$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- October 15$3.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?"?
242 wallets hold a position worth $273K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 240 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcf19…6402, with $1.4K on it, $140K lifetime profit over 496 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is Babymunk, with $55K on it, $36K lifetime profit over 60 markets (83% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $388K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.