Who's betting on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $80K traded all time
- Held now
- $46K by 190 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 112 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $80K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
190 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is GollumGekko, with $942 on it, $297K lifetime profit over 1,246 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Babymunk, with $15K on it, $36K lifetime profit over 61 markets (84% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 119
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.7K on it
- 1GollumGekko73% won of 1,246 · whale$942+$297K lifetime
- 2Nadmi36% won of 1,267 · noise$632+$156K lifetime
- 3de5nuts46% won of 323 · whale$500+$153K lifetime
- 4BigRabbit36% won of 1,121 · noise$491+$124K lifetime
- 5Contestable-Parfait60% won of 540 · whale$486+$170K lifetime
No$40K on it
- 1Babymunk84% won of 61 · balanced$15K+$36K lifetime
- 2SickandTired70% won of 1,207$5.5K−$2.6K lifetime
- 3retardio42083% won of 35 · balanced$4.0K+$2.0K lifetime
- 4MrNoItAll90% won of 544 · whale$2.3K+$38K lifetime
- 50x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-176268842113675% won of 426$2.0K−$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
7 more- December 31$4.7M vol.Yes 42%No 58%Smart money: No
- November 30$850K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: No
- November 2$398K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- March 31$215K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: No
- October 31$7.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- September 30$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- October 15$3.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?"?
190 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is GollumGekko, with $942 on it, $297K lifetime profit over 1,246 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Babymunk, with $15K on it, $36K lifetime profit over 61 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $80K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.