Who's betting on “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?”?
Tech · $34K volume · Ends March 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago it was split.
95 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13, with $615 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 296 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is DerDon, with $2.3K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,174 markets (55% won).
- Smart money share
- 77% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13balanced | $615 | +$11K | 74% of 296 |
| PCMTestwhale | $277 | +$13K | 77% of 428 |
| Gr4pefruit7000whale | $270 | +$44K | 56% of 419 |
| Optimus-whale | $263 | +$120K | 56% of 314 |
| 0x52B6849f0B16FfBE429dCa17Ab4985146Aff7D34-1766348292963 | $161 | +$1.8K | 100% of 2 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DerDonwhale | $2.3K | +$97K | 55% of 1,174 |
| MaxEntnoise | $1.2K | +$3.5K | 41% of 351 |
| Utoyabalanced | $950 | +$7.1K | 95% of 37 |
| DontTrustMebalanced | $420 | +$9.7K | 87% of 121 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale | $346 | +$306K | 44% of 3,734 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
- December 31, 2026$322K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- June 30, 2027$73K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2027$67K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money split
- January 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2026$416K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? →
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$430K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13, with $615 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 296 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is DerDon, with $2.3K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 1,174 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.