Who's betting on “Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 107 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
107 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Myway, with $604 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 217 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x91c3…409f, with $2.6K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 488 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on Yes.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.0K on it
- 1Myway59% won of 217 · whale$604+$42K lifetime
- 20xcf19…640254% won of 496 · whale$540+$140K lifetime
- 3Etay004419% won of 16$436+$7.9K lifetime
- 40x1C5Da48636d951c8D97910147828259A4F3d63eD-177243768317754% won of 74$382−$1.7K lifetime
- 5Saltyballs49% won of 939 · whale$352+$180K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 10x91c3…409f45% won of 488$2.6K+$2.6K lifetime
- 2Parz1vaI72% won of 1,283 · whale$2.3K+$804K lifetime
- 3MrNoItAll90% won of 539 · whale$960+$38K lifetime
- 4DooBieZ55% won of 1,112 · whale$730+$35K lifetime
- 5Udonsan79% won of 888 · whale$699+$69K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iran full airspace closure by...?
3 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$4.3M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.8M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.7M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.2M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.5M vol.Yes 34%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$1.0M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$786K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?"?
107 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Myway, with $604 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 217 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x91c3…409f, with $2.6K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 488 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.