Who's betting on “Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 70 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeruvianPuffPepper, with $20 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 95 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $2.8K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $56
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$56 on it
- 1PeruvianPuffPepper64% won of 95 · balanced$20+$11K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$10+$38K lifetime
- 3Benihadad100% won of 1$5+$867 lifetime
- 4PV15kjashd912ni1928yd91h2d17% won of 203$4−$30 lifetime
- 5LonelyScissors45% won of 3,485$2−$96 lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$2.8K+$104K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$564+$203K lifetime
- 3recallcp100% won of 11$228+$388 lifetime
- 4rocky4201653% won of 688$212−$8.0K lifetime
- 5spxtest48% won of 763$143−$702 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Gemini Carbon released by...?
3 more- November 30$16K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- November 15$11K vol.Yes 60%No 41%Smart money: No
- December 31$11K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeruvianPuffPepper, with $20 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 95 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $2.8K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.