Who's betting on “Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is smoke-free, with $1.2K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $370 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1smoke-freeno record yet$1.2K+$0 lifetime
- 2cym196945% won of 29 · noise$196+$3.3K lifetime
- 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$165+$56K lifetime
- 4dreamland2679100% won of 1$159+$304 lifetime
- 50x2b385a97846df6ECfa4E31f81066C118E49D5ea8-174556268793156% won of 63 · balanced$114+$706 lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$370+$203K lifetime
- 2Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$218+$45K lifetime
- 3w3b57% won of 28 · noise$203+$3.3K lifetime
- 4eCash68% won of 691 · whale$122+$288K lifetime
- 5premine82% won of 17$86+$811 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Gemini Carbon released by...?
3 more- November 30$16K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- October 31$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- December 31$11K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is smoke-free, with $1.2K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $370 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 60¢ and No at 41¢, a 60% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.